A Tucson, AZ homeowner has tried multiple grass seeds (generic, Pennington One Step, Scotts EZ Seed) with 99.5% failure despite daily watering, sun, and loosened soil. Wildflowers grow fine in the same soil. The expert notes two key seed label metrics: purity (percentage of named variety) and germination rate (percentage that will sprout under given conditions).
The critical period is when seeds have sprouted but not yet developed roots. If water is withheld at this stage, 100% failure is common. The seed contains energy for germination and shoots upward for sunlight, but without water, photosynthesis can't begin. The expert suspects the seedlings are drying out during this vulnerable window, especially since it's not the natural rainy season. Once roots establish, the grass becomes self-sufficient.
Recommendation: ensure consistent moisture during the post-germination, pre-root stage. Consider the natural rainfall pattern and supplement accordingly.
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